For this awards-centric edition of The Roundup, I will go through each category and tell you who I think should win the award, who I think actually will win the award, and who I think has no chance to win - followed by a brief thought on the category this season. And for this season - and possibly future seasons - I have decided to bring back my snubs for each category as well.
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Who Should Win: Wonder Bean
Who Will Win: The Big Top
No Chance: N/A
Snub(s): Masters of the Universe: The Sword of Power
Thought(s): This really could any which way as there is no clear favorite of the four nominees. I had a hard time just choosing who I, personally, think should win, let alone who I think will win. As far as I'm concerned, they all have about a 25% chance (give or take a percent).
BEST SOUNDTRACK
Who Should Win: American Gigolo
Who Will Win: American Gigolo
No Chance: Acapella
Snub(s): N/A
Thought(s): This is a rough category this season. Somehow we have two of the nominations taken up by a Jack Ryder film soundtrack and a film soundtrack consisting entirely of acapella music. This was probably the weakest batch of candidates since Season 11 when there were only four films with soundtracks so they all received a nomination. I have to think that Roy Horne's soundtrack experience will overtake the other nominees here.
MOST WANTED SEQUEL
Who Should Win: Shatterhand
Who Will Win: Justice League Invasion
No Chance: Tarzan
Snub(s): Masters of the Universe: The Sword of Power
Thought(s): This is a pretty stacked category in Season 30. I have a hard time betting against Shatterhand with how great John Malone's Bond films are, but I think the Justice League may pull away with this one.
BEST ENSEMBLE CAST
Who Should Win: Justice League Invasion
Who Will Win: Justice League Invasion
No Chance: American Gigolo
Snub(s): Tarzan
Thought(s): Justice League Invasion does a great job of managing its massive ensemble of DC Comics Universe stars, so I think it is the clear favorite (although I won't be surprised if X-Men: Hellfire comes away with an upset).
BEST STARRING COUPLE
Who Should Win: Hayley Atwell & Jason Momoa - Tarzan
Who Will Win: Woody Harrelson & Jeremy Allen White - Eve of Destruction
No Chance: Florence Pugh & Jeremy Allen White - Wonder Bean
Snub(s): Adele Exarchopoulos & Dan Stevens - Shatterhand
Thought(s): Woody and JAW are both award darlings right now, so they are the safe bet. I think Atwell and Momoa are more deserving though as their chemistry was amazing in Tarzan.
BEST VILLAIN
Who Should Win: Guy Pearce - Shatterhand
Who Will Win: Guy Pearce - Shatterhand
No Chance: Mickey Rourke - Deathstroke
Snub(s): Yuki Kato - Klitih: A Way of Life
Thought(s): Guy Pearce made for a memorable Blofeld in the latest Bond film, so I think his chances are really strong. The other villains didn't feel like they had as much screentime, which hurts their odds to me.
BEST ADAPTATION
Who Should Win: Tarzan
Who Will Win: Shatterhand
No Chance: Tarzan
Snub(s): X-Men: Hellfire & American Gigolo
Thought(s): Tarzan is not the best film in this category, but I do think it may be the most impressive from an adaptation standpoint. It is finally an exciting and action-packed Tarzan film. That said, I don't think it will win.
BEST ORIGINAL STORY
Who Should Win: Klitih: A Way of Life
Who Will Win: The Big Top
No Chance: Tamahagane
Snub(s): Kill Zone
Thought(s): I wouldn't have guessed The Big Top would be the favorite here until it garnered a surprise Best Picture nominee. As the only original Best Picture category, I think it will probably win here. Klitih was a powerful story though and is most deserving this season.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Who Should Win: Vanessa Kirby - Justice League Invasion
Who Will Win: Jennifer Connelly - Eve of Destruction
No Chance: Rosamund Pike - X-Men: Hellfire
Snub(s): Koyuki - Tamahagane
Thought(s): Kirby gave a surprisingly great performance in Justice League Invasion, especially in those early scenes. This is a weak category, but those scenes were the best of the bunch here.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Who Should Win: Woody Harrelson - Eve of Destruction
Who Will Win: Woody Harrelson - Eve of Destruction
No Chance: Mackenyu - Tamahagane
Snub(s): Ernie Hudson - Magic
Thought(s): Usually Best Supporting Actor is a stacked category, but it is not this season. It is very clearly Woody Harrelson's award to lose this season.
BEST ACTRESS
Who Should Win: Alison Pill - Magic
Who Will Win: Sarah Gadon - American Gigolo
No Chance: Yuki Kato - Klitih: A Way of Life
Snub(s): Adele Exarchopoulos - Shatterhand
Thought(s): This award could go in any direction, so I'm basically flipping a coin here.
BEST ACTOR
Who Should Win: David Dastmalchian - Magic
Who Will Win: Dan Stevens - Shatterhand
No Chance: Chris Pratt - Kill Zone
Snub(s): N/A
Thought(s): I think all of the nominees have a shot, but Dan Stevens has to be the favorite after winning for both of his previous James Bond performances.
BEST DIRECTOR
Who Should Win: Michael Bay - Justice League Invasion
Who Will Win: Joe Wright - Shatterhand
No Chance: Zack Snyder - Kill Zone
Snub(s): Paolo Sorrentino - American Gigolo
Thought(s): Michael Bay put in his best Justice League work yet, so I think he's earned this one. Joe Wright has to be the favorite though with the Bond franchise's success in the category.
BEST PICTURE
Who Should Win: Shatterhand
Who Will Win: Shatterhand
No Chance: The Big Top
Snub(s): Tarzan & American Gigolo
Thought(s): The Big Top was a surprise nomination here to me, so I think it is the outlier. The other three nominees all received the same Metascore of 82, so they all have a solid shot. I'm not willing to bet against Shatterhand here though.
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