Sunday, February 26, 2023

The Roundup with Jeff Stockton (Season 25 Golden Reel Awards Edition)

 
For the upcoming 25th Golden Reel Awards, the nominations are fairly spread out with the three "MUST SEE" films of the season leading the tallies, but things do seem pretty wide open. For this awards-centric edition of The Roundup, I will go through each category and tell you who I think should win the award, who I think actually will win the award, and who I think has no chance to win - followed by a brief thought on the category this season. 

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Who Should Win: Scarlet
Who Will Win: Tinseltown
No Chance: The Last of the Mohicans

Thought(s): Really, this one could go almost any way, but the one film I cannot picture winning is The Last of the Mohicans.

BEST SOUNDTRACK

Who Should Win: The Punisher: Last Exit
Who Will Win: The Punisher: Last Exit
No Chance: The Driftwood Populace

Thought(s): Dwight Gallo's first Punisher film took this award back in Season 19 and I would put my money on the sequel doing the same here.

MOST WANTED SEQUEL
Who Should Win: The Punisher: Last Exit
Who Will Win: Carte Blanche
No Chance: The Fall Guy: Trouble in Tahiti / The Hammer of Thor

Thought(s): This category feels like a duel between The Punisher: Last Exit and Carte Blanche. Ultimately I would rather see a third Punisher film, but Carte Blanche was such a juggernaut that I think it will win.

BEST ENSEMBLE CAST

Who Should Win: The Long Way Home
Who Will Win: Tinseltown
No Chance: The Driftwood Populace

Thought(s): I think Tinseltown will win because of its flashy characters (even if there is some iffy casting), but The Long Way Home should win because it nailed every role cast-wise. The Driftwood Populace may have a big, famous ensemble cast, but not a ton of memorable characters to me.

BEST STARRING COUPLE
Who Should Win: 
Kyle Chandler & Tom Hanks - Revival
Who Will Win: Kyle Chandler & Tom Hanks - Revival
No Chance: Katherine Langford & Evan Peters - Skin

Thought(s): Chandler and Hanks are both not locks in their individual categories, so I think they have a good chance together.

BEST VILLAIN
Who Should Win: Toby Wallace - Batgirl
Who Will Win: Toby Wallace - Batgirl
No Chance: Toby Kebbell - We Know Where You Live

Thought(s): Recent DC Comics Universe films have struggled a bit in the villain department, but Wallace is one of the universe's most memorable villains so I think he is the favorite even up against big names like Del Toro.

BEST ADAPTATION
Who Should Win: Revival
Who Will Win: Revival
No Chance: Batgirl

Thought(s):  Revival is not an easy book to adapt, so I think the fact that Chad Taylor managed to make a really good - and coherent - film out of it means that he should win here.

BEST ORIGINAL STORY
Who Should Win: Believe It or Not!
Who Will Win: Believe It or Not!
No Chance: Collapse / Tinseltown

Thought(s): Believe It or Not! should, and probably will, win. It's only real competition in my mind is The Long Way Home. Collapse and Tinseltown are both decent films, but I can't see either competing with the two better (and better reviewed) films here.
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Who Should Win: Sally Field - Collapse
Who Will Win: Helen Mirren - The Driftwood Populace
No Chance: N/A

Thought(s): This one could go any way with no real favorite. Mirren's the biggest name, which is way I think she'll win.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Who Should Win: Tom Hanks - Revival
Who Will Win: Tom Hanks - Revival
No Chance: Jonny Lee Miller - The Sandman: Season of Mists

Thought(s): Hanks gave one of his best performances in Revival, so I think he will win pretty handily, but it's not a lock as I could see Abdul-Mateen II being competitive here.

BEST ACTRESS
Who Should Win: Emma Stone - The Long Way Home
Who Will Win: Emma Stone - The Long Way Home
No Chance: N/A

Thought(s): Similar to the Best Supporting Actress category, I don't think there is anything close to a favorite here. Stone is a big name and gave a good performance in a late season film so I think she might have a slight edge over the others, but it isn't much.

BEST ACTOR
Who Should Win: Mel Gibson - The Punisher: Last Exit
Who Will Win: Kyle Chandler - Revival
No Chance: Ryan Gosling - Collapse

Thought(s): I was surprised that Ryan Gosling beat out Dan Stevens and Andrew Garfield for a nomination here, so I don't think he's going to win. If I had to put money on it, I think Kyle Chandler will win, but I'd rather the trophy go to Mel Gibson or even Seth MacFarlane.

BEST DIRECTOR
Who Should Win: Frank Darabont - Revival
Who Will Win: Denis Villeneuve - Carte Blanche
No Chance: Sam Mendes - Tinseltown

Thought(s): Villenueve is the most talented director of the bunch, so I think that could put him over the top and secure a win. I'd rather Darabont get some love. The only nominee I can't see winning here is Sam Mendes because Tinseltown simply isn't as good as the other films represented here.

BEST PICTURE
Who Should Win: Carte Blanche
Who Will Win: Revival
No Chance: Believe It or Not!

Thought(s): Any of the four could realistically win here, which is pretty rare. Though with the lowest Metascore, Believe It or Not! probably has the slimmest chances. It'll probably be a tight race between Revival and Carte Blanche.

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