Reuben Schwartz here. We are at the mid-way point of Season 15, which is
perfect time for the return of The Trades. As a reminder, this aims to
take an annual look at the news, casting, rumors, and general hullabaloo
surrounding the studio each season.
So where does this season
stand at this point? Well it’s been relatively healthy, box office wise.
There have already been entries into some of the studios premier
franchises: Halo, the DC Universe and the MBWA DC Universe. And in
addition to that, star-studded films like Crimson and The Andromeda Strain have also been hits for the studio.
Given
that there were a lot of these action and franchise films in the first
half, the awards races are once again difficult to fully have a grasp on
at this point. There were a handful of traditional awards-friendly
films in the first half: The Second Life of John Wilkes Booth, The Phantom of the Opera, Drugstore Perfume, A Reputation and The Killings. Overall, there is a mixed bag here.
Quentin
Tarantino’s return to the studio was one I wrote about in my For Your
Consideration post last season and it definitely had hype coming in. In
my quarters, it also had hype amongst journalists about a potential
return to form for Emile Hirsch, whose career went a little
off-the-rails for a while. Ultimately, Hirsch’s performance was
respected but the film was surprisingly flavorless for something coming
from QT. While his films are often the subject of much discussion, Alex
Conn’s plot descriptions tend to sound like awards contenders on paper
and Drugstore Perfume (despite that title) is no different. But in regards to the film itself, it’s fair to say it failed to make an impact.
The Phantom of the Opera
is in an interesting middle ground. It’s a well-known adaptation that
garnered respect for its lead cast members and the visual style of a
famous director. It’s difficult to say how much this will make an impact
at the GRAs, as it’s early season release date may prove to be
detrimental to any chances.
It’s fair to say that A Reputation
has become the first real contender of the season. Some are even saying
that it can’t be topped (at least that’s what I’ve heard on the
interwebs). Not only is director Noah Baumbach a guarantee lock for
director but there are at least a few acting nominations amongst them
that seem likely, Brie Larson chief among them. Perhaps the strongest
aspect of the film is the performance of Brendan Fraser in a role that
felt basically written for him when I watched it (which Mo Buck would
later go on to confirm in his blog post). Another nomination (and
especially a win) would cement Fraser as one LRF’s best feel-good
stories, one that has already seen him land a leading role in a
two-season LRTV show. Joining it this round The Killings, another
star-studded effort that saw Ryan Gosling step out of The Question role
and Alejandro González Iñárritu make his debut for the studio. Given
its awards-friendly genre, it’s safe to assume that this will also stick
around until the nominations ceremony.
There are also the films
that were very well-respected by critics but are difficult to predict
when it comes to earning nominations. Crimson and To the Max
are the two that come to mind. A spy-thriller and a dark comedy about a
douchebag teen aren’t exactly traditional contenders but you never
know.
Looking ahead, the second half of the season looks to
reflect the nature of the first half with a mix of big-name directors
and properties alike. Let’s first look at the latter category. The two
films that likely stand out the most are Star Wars: Knights of the Republic - Part II and X-Men.
While the first film made a good amount of profit for the studio, it is
hard not to feel like it finds itself in the shadow of more LRF-based
franchises like Mass Effect and Halo. Can this sequel help it gain the cultural resonance of its predecessors in the franchise?
As for X-Men,
this feels like a big bet for the studio. The LRF offices have already
hinted that this is their hopes of kickstarting a new cinematic
universe. From what we’ve already got for the cast, it will be very
interesting to see how this does. I wouldn’t say that there are any
marquee names, exactly, but look back on the Fox films from the 2000.
Were Hugh Jackman, James Marsden, Famke Janssen household names? Even
Patrick Stewart and Ian McKellan were not on the level that they would
be in the years following. In fact, Toby Stephens and David Morrissey in
the roles of Xavier and Magneto feels a little similar to that original
pairing: well-respected theatrical English actors who have had success
on television shows but not much in the way of major films. As for the
other parts, Dwight Gallo has quite the cast forming. Jamie Dornan has
been touted as a rising star for the studio and this would cement that.
Jessie Buckley, coming off of lauded performances in Wild Rose and
Beast, has a chance to really announce herself on a big stage. Despite
being the youngest, Millie Bobby Brown might be the best known person on
this cast and could bring in younger viewers. And then there are the
likes of Rebecca Ferguson and David Oyewolo, who never hurt any film
they’re in.
There are a number of more critics-friendly films
that we know of so far. Paul Thomas Anderson returns after winning Best
Picture with Bastion. But that’s probably not even the biggest
headline, which would be the first appearance of legendary actor Denzel
Washington. And he’s paired with PTA favorite Joaquin Phoenix! Yowza. We
also have a similar director/actor pairing that is intriguing: the
introduction of Ridley Scott to an LRF audience paired with Josh Brolin,
making his first appearance since Season 3. Well-known collaborators
Jean-Marc Vallee and Mo Buck are re-teaming for And the Birds Rained Down,
which is already assembling a very interesting cast. Rian Johnson, a
flexible filmmaker who hasn’t ventured outside of sci-fi at this studio,
is taking a new step with Meirad Tako’s Hotel California. And James Morgan releases always garner some sort of awards conversation and we will see how western Of Rocks and Sand does to open up this second half.
Then there’s the stuff we don’t know much about yet. For example, Kurt & Courtney: All Apologies,
presumably the much-discussed Kurt Cobain biopic, could be a real
acting force at the GRAs depending on who is cast. For that, we will
need to wait and see.
And so again, just like last season, a lot
of the races are wide open. For once, Best Actress definitely has
stronger contenders than the male category at this point (at least in my
opinion. We already have heavy hitters like Larson, Margot Robbie,
Aubrey Plaza, Lily James and Jennifer Lawrence - who has been nominated
for Best Actress for all three of her other roles. On the other hand, if
you were trying to predict the Best Actor race at this point, would you
have anyone that feels like a lock? In our most recent film, Ryan
Gosling might have solidified a spot. Luke Evans, perhaps? Maybe but
that still leaves a lot of room for possibilities in the second half.
And so keep your eyes peeled as awards season is about to get well and
truly underway.
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